As at the time you will be reading this piece, it
is my uttermost desire that the Chibok Girls abducted six months ago by the
violent Boko Haram sect would have been freed up. The hope for their release
was brought alive on 17th October 2014 when the Federal Government, through the
Nigerian military, said that it had agreed to a ceasefire deal with the
ferocious sect and that the Chibok girls would be released soon. The deal was
announced by the Chief of Defence Staff; Air Marshal Alex Badeh.
While we`re already sure of the Presidential
Candidate of the ruling political party (People Democratic Party) which is
President Goodluck Jonathan, four candidates- General Muhammadu Buhari, Alhaji
Atiku Abubakar, Governor Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso and Leadership Newspaper
Publisher- Sam Nda Isaiah, have all shown interests for the opposition party`s
(All Progressive Party) Presidential ticket.
On September 24 2014, the former Vice President
Atiku Abubakar, officially declared his interest to be the 2015 presidential
election flag bearer for the All Progressive Congress (APC) while on October 15
2014 at the Eagle Square Abuja the former military ruler, General Muhammadu
Buhari, officially declared his interest for the same position . Kano State
Governor Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso and Leadership Newspaper Publisher- Sam
Nda-Isaiah are yet to officially declare their interests for the prestigious
position.
From all indications, General Muhammadu Buhari may
likely be the All Progressive Congress` (APC) candidate to contest against
President Goodluck Jonathan who is the flag bearer for the ruling party- (PDP)
for the 2015 presidential election.
After General Muhammadu Buhari openly declared his
2015 presidential ambition in Abuja, an online opinion poll run through an
independent third-party service called POLL conducted a survey.
The survey asked: ‘If the 2015 Nigerian
presidential election were held today, with President Goodluck Jonathan as the
PDP candidate and General Muhammadu Buhari as the APC candidate, who would win?’
The survey which lasted for 24 hours had 14,314
voters. The result of the survey showed overwhelmingly support for General
Muhammadu Buhari, who won the Poll with a rating as high as 78%.
However, the fact is, in the Nigeria of today,
majority of those that participate in Polls are the few educated elites of the
society, most of which do not participate in real elections.
General Muhammadu Buhari may have won the Polls,
but that is not an assurance that he will win the presidential election comes
2015.
The 2015 general election will not be about
political parties alone but about their candidates and Propaganda will be a
powerful tool that would be employed by any of the parties that`s really
desperate for victory.
Though, a lot of Nigerians may be interested in the
change of governance and may want to see a transition of power but that does
not imply that they will vote for a candidate that has been widely tagged as a
religious fanatic.
General Buhari has been recognized as being honest
and incorruptible, disciplined and principled, with his modest lifestyle
acknowledged even by his opponents. With these qualities, he is well suitable
for the prestigious position of the country.
But on the other hand, he has also been widely
criticized as being a Pro North than a Pro Nigeria and also as a religious
bigot. Those alone could stand against him in a country that is so polarized
along religious and regional lines.
He must therefore not be carried away by the
results of the Polls, but rather concentrate on how to get the voters to change
the false notion they have about him.
In this case, It is so important to remember that,
it was the same Poll that rated the Ex- Governor of Ekiti State; Governor
Kayode Fayemi above Governor Ayodele Fayose as the preferred candidate for
Ekiti State governor by majority of registered voters in the state. The poll was conducted in May 2014 by one of
the leading Nigerian research company- Brand Survey Ltd.
Nevertheless, unfortunately for him, the result was
widely different when the election was conducted. Governor Peter Ayodele Fayose
defeated him to be the winner of the Ekiti State gubernatorial election.
It was the same Poll that rated Mallam Nuhu Ribadu
approximately 90% high over President Goodluck Jonathan and General Buhari in
2011. However, the result was not the same when the election was conducted in
April 2011. In fact, Mallam Nuhu Ribadu didn’t even come second after the
election was over and the results released, but came last amidst the two other
candidates he was rated above at the Polls.
Saying that General Buhari won`t pose a big threat
to President Goodluck Jonathan in the forth coming Presidential election is far
from the truth but relaxing on the results from the Polls will do him more harm
than good.
Buhari must therefore, get his campaign strategies
right, and top on the list must be aimed at convincing the people that he`s not
a religious fanatic. Especially the people at the grassroots- those market men
and women, those religious minded people that still carry the notion as cooked
to them by his enemy.
If possible he should try attending the forthcoming
Christian religious gatherings like the HolyGhost Congress 2014, Shiloh 2014,
Pray your way to 2015, and others. He could also visit the Synagogue, Read up Rhapsody
of Realities and the likes, and most importantly meet up Christian religious
leaders. These will go a long way to convince those that still believe he is an
Islamic religious bigot that he`s not. (Remember Governor Rauf Aregbesola of
Osun State applied a similar strategy when faced with the same criticism).
It would be better, if his case is like that of
Benjamin Netanyahu- the Israeli politician, and current Prime Minister of
Israel, who always lose the election in the polls, and win it on election day.
And until he is declared the winner of the 2015
Presidential Election, he should not mind the Polls he has not yet arrived!
God Bless Nigeria!
Ogundana Michael Rotimi
Follow me on Twitter @MickeySunny
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